Questions & Answers: Visa Bulletin Progress and Projections


The Visa Bulletin is a monthly publication by the Bureau of Consular Affairs, a part of the Department of State.  Each month, a new VB lists cut-off dates for each green card category.  Only applicants with a priority date that is older than the VB cut-off date for his/her green card category and country of birth may submit their final green card application (I-485).  The VB may be found at: Visa Bulletin


Q: EB-2 India & China retrogressed significantly for September 2015. What caused this?


A: The September retrogression of EB-2 China and India can primarily be attributed to skyrocketing demand for EB-2 Worldwide, which has left fewer numbers available for India and China. Earlier this year, EB-2 Worldwide demand was around 2,400 per month and started creeping up in March. In June, demand peaked at 6,700, and with July usage totaling 4,400 it was necessary to take corrective action for EB-2 China and India to limit future number use.


Additionally, fewer EB-1 numbers are available to fall down to EB-2 China and India. During the second quarter of the fiscal year, 9,300 EB-1 numbers were used. That jumped to 13,500 EB-1 numbers in the third quarter (April through June).


Q: How likely is it that EB-2 India and China will advance significantly with the start of the fiscal year on October 1?


A: It is expected that the dates will advance in October as we enter the new fiscal year. EB-2 India is likely to advance to a date between February and April 2006.


Q: The "Visa Modernization" proposal promises to refine the monthly allocation of visas, increasing the number of visas allocated during the first three quarters. Can you elaborate on this plan?


A: This is still a work in progress but applicants should be happy with what is ultimately rolled out. This change will mean more aggressive cut-off date movements earlier in the year. Some changes have already been implemented resulting in priority date movement earlier this year with regard to EB-2 India, many of which were EB-3 upgrades. However, aggressive movement earlier in the year will mean less movement during the final quarter when fewer numbers are available.